PnL (30d)

−$212

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$27

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-20.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

18%

12W / 54L · 30 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

40W / 56L

Trades (30d)

96

across 45 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$5.44

avg win $62 · loss $13

Profit Factor

0.54

$248 won / $460 lost

Reward / Risk

4.71

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	18.2% 12W/54L	45	$1,709
⚽ Sports	—	2	$52
💵 Economy	—	1	$150
🤖 Tech	—	1	$150

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	1,550	0.075	$116.25	$7.75	+7.1%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	290	0.213	$61.91	$0.14	+0.2%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	350	0.095	$33.08	$2.27	+7.4%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	100	0.037	$3.75	$-5.85	-60.9%
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	225	0.013	$2.82	$-22.18	-88.7%
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	1,868	0.002	$2.80	$-0.93	-25.0%
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?	Yes	100	0.019	$1.90	$-26.10	-93.2%
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	250	0.004	$0.88	$-4.12	-82.5%
Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	235	0.004	$0.82	$-0.61	-42.5%
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	100	0.001	$0.05	$-4.95	-99.0%
Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	100	0.001	$0.05	$-4.85	-99.0%