PnL (30d)

−$57

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$263

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

34%

21W / 41L · 43 open

Win Return (30d)

54%

57W / 48L

Trades (30d)

105

across 25 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$3.53

avg win $68 · loss $46

Profit Factor

0.88

$408 won / $465 lost

Reward / Risk

1.46

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$128

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	33.9% 21W/41L	25	$4,076
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	6	$688
₿ Crypto	100.0% 2W/0L	5	$153

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	2,486	0.625	$1,553.52	$393.08	+33.9%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	1,495	0.885	$1,323.44	$287.78	+27.8%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in August?	Yes	310	0.640	$198.40	$86.60	+77.5%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	791	0.225	$178.06	$-26.83	-13.1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?	No	100	0.865	$86.50	$33.50	+63.2%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?	Yes	400	0.086	$34.20	$6.20	+22.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	21	0.195	$4.18	$-4.18	-50.0%