PnL (30d)

−$11,305

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$202

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-9.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

48%

256W / 280L · 212 open

Win Return (30d)

52%

388W / 357L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

748

across 163 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$80.18

avg win $47 · loss $238

Profit Factor

0.25

$3,680 won / $14,985 lost

Reward / Risk

0.20

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2,275

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	47.8% 256W/280L	163	$186,566
₿ Crypto	96.4% 27W/1L	6	$1,718
🎬 Culture	100.0% 4W/0L	6	$257
⚽ Sports	—	1	$937

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	No	34,766	0.725	$25,205.27	$-483.32	-1.9%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	16,180	0.955	$15,451.71	$1,297.49	+9.2%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	No	13,149	0.885	$11,637.03	$3,264.99	+39.0%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	244	0.800	$195.04	$82.89	+73.9%
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?	Yes	33	0.949	$31.28	$2.24	+7.7%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	50	0.175	$8.75	$-20.25	-69.8%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	10	0.790	$7.91	$-0.07	-0.9%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	10	0.209	$2.09	$0.06	+3.2%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?	Yes	50	0.027	$1.35	$-3.65	-73.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	10	0.135	$1.34	$0.09	+7.6%