PnL (30d)

−$21,797

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$5,658

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

47%

3,887W / 4,357L · 214 open

Win Return (30d)

47%

3,975W / 4,443L · 40 open

Trades (30d)

8,458

across 592 markets · ~14 per market

EV / position

−$37.52

avg win $848 · loss $817

Profit Factor

0.91

$230,595 won / $252,392 lost

Reward / Risk

1.04

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$17,557

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	47.1% 3,887W/4,357L	592	$1,299,905
⚽ Sports	52.4% 1,278W/1,163L	175	$306,823
🏛 Politics	94.9% 112W/6L	10	$50,995
💵 Economy	93.3% 84W/6L	4	$31,460
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/62L	1	$2,417

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	13,188	0.495	$6,527.98	$726.16	+12.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	12,308	0.475	$5,846.30	$-1,099.94	-15.8%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner	BNK FearX Youth	1,917	1.000	$1,916.04	$855.43	+80.7%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	1,089	0.998	$1,086.28	$77.03	+7.6%
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	1,292	0.790	$1,020.68	$177.00	+21.0%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	1,000	0.997	$997.00	$73.33	+7.9%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	1,262	0.606	$764.14	$-3.88	-0.5%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group	Kiwoom DRX Challengers	606	1.000	$605.70	$225.52	+59.3%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	11,314	0.048	$537.41	$-1,866.30	-77.6%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	4,901	0.046	$227.90	$-403.80	-63.9%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner	Nongshim Esports Academy	176	0.841	$147.93	$107.28	+264.0%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner	Dplus KIA Challengers	596	0.160	$95.06	$-82.29	-46.4%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	9,697	0.003	$29.09	$-2,997.00	-99.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	3,560	0.003	$8.90	$-250.05	-96.6%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner	Kiwoom DRX Challengers	1,900	0.001	$0.95	$-799.50	-99.9%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group	BNK FearX Youth	1,576	0.001	$0.79	$-499.10	-99.8%