PnL (30d)

+$13

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+55.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

34%

37W / 73L · 37 open

Win Return (30d)

45%

65W / 80L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

147

across 44 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.37

avg win $5 · loss $0

Profit Factor

2.24

$23 won / $10 lost

Reward / Risk

13.01

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	39.9% 798W/1,201L	809	$974
⚽ Sports	16.2% 51W/263L	153	$133
₿ Crypto	55.6% 15W/12L	13	$18
💵 Economy	57.7% 15W/11L	12	$17
🏛 Politics	10.5% 2W/17L	10	$16
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/15L	9	$18
🌤 Weather	50.0% 3W/3L	5	$2
🤖 Tech	—	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: Atlético San Luis O/U 5.5 Corners	Over	23	0.500	$11.52	$11.06	+2400.0%
Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners	Under	20	0.495	$9.95	$9.70	+3848.2%
San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 13.5 Total Corners	Over	13	0.520	$6.97	$6.43	+1200.0%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026?	No	47	0.080	$3.77	$2.99	+381.4%
Stroemsgodset IF vs. Egersunds IK: O/U 0.5	Under	26	0.125	$3.25	$2.47	+316.7%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5	Over	11	0.305	$3.20	$2.74	+593.8%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: OldBoys (-3.5) vs Wave Esports (+3.5)	Wave Esports	6	0.510	$3.08	$2.94	+2075.0%
Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: Atlético San Luis O/U 2.5 Corners	Under	6	0.500	$3.00	$2.94	+4900.0%
Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: Tigres de la UANL O/U 2.5 Corners	Under	6	0.500	$3.00	$2.94	+4900.0%
Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: Tigres de la UANL O/U 5.5 Corners	Under	6	0.500	$3.00	$2.94	+4900.0%
Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: Tigres de la UANL O/U 4.5 Corners	Under	6	0.500	$3.00	$2.94	+4900.0%
Galatasaray SK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5	Over	5	0.500	$2.71	$2.66	+4900.0%
Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: Team to Take First Corner	Tigres de la UANL	5	0.495	$2.50	$2.40	+2375.0%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Just Players - Map 1 Winner	Just Players	28	0.080	$2.24	$1.68	+300.0%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	4	0.340	$1.20	$1.10	+1033.3%
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 4.5	Over	5	0.235	$1.17	$0.97	+487.4%
Yokohama BayStars vs. Yomiuri Giants	Yomiuri Giants	2	0.510	$1.01	$0.87	+628.6%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Over	3	0.340	$0.93	$0.85	+1031.6%
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 0.5	Under	12	0.070	$0.84	$0.36	+75.0%
Will "Red" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3?	No	5	0.155	$0.80	$0.69	+675.0%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	49	0.015	$0.73	$0.73	+0.0%
Juventus FC vs. SC União Torreense: O/U 0.5	Under	6	0.085	$0.55	$0.10	+21.4%
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)	New York Yankees	2	0.260	$0.52	$0.40	+333.2%
Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)	New York Yankees	2	0.255	$0.51	$0.41	+409.8%
Will "Right" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3?	No	15	0.029	$0.43	$0.27	+178.5%