PnL (30d)

+$102

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

76%

50W / 16L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

76%

51W / 16L

Trades (30d)

67

across 37 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$2.84

avg win $14 · loss $53

Profit Factor

1.32

$421 won / $318 lost

Reward / Risk

0.26

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$67

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	75.8% 50W/16L	37	$4,386
🏛 Politics	—	1	$92

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	No	1,000	0.795	$795.00	$-5.00	-0.6%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	200	0.975	$194.90	$10.90	+5.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 3-9?	No	200	0.950	$190.00	$4.00	+2.2%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?	No	200	0.900	$179.86	$-2.00	-1.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	200	0.835	$167.00	$-3.00	-1.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?	Yes	100	1.000	$99.95	$5.65	+6.0%
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	100	0.997	$99.69	$7.90	+8.6%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 5?	Yes	100	0.987	$98.70	$1.70	+1.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?	No	100	0.985	$98.50	$3.40	+3.6%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	100	0.981	$98.05	$2.55	+2.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?	Yes	100	0.965	$96.45	$2.45	+2.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6?	No	100	0.958	$95.75	$5.45	+6.0%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	No	100	0.945	$94.50	$1.50	+1.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	Yes	100	0.940	$94.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 5?	Yes	100	0.925	$92.50	$1.50	+1.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7?	Yes	100	0.905	$90.50	$0.50	+0.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7?	No	100	0.895	$89.50	$5.50	+6.5%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9?	No	100	0.890	$89.00	$5.00	+6.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	100	0.885	$88.50	$-1.50	-1.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8?	No	100	0.865	$86.50	$0.50	+0.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	100	0.531	$53.10	$-37.90	-41.6%