PnL (30d)

−$57

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

49%

78W / 81L · 4 open

Win Return (30d)

48%

79W / 84L

Trades (30d)

163

across 82 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.74

avg win $17 · loss $12

Profit Factor

0.90

$525 won / $582 lost

Reward / Risk

1.37

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$37

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	49.1% 78W/81L	82	$2,470
⚽ Sports	57.1% 4W/3L	5	$247
🏛 Politics	—	2	$1
💵 Economy	—	2	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

90 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	206	0.209	$43.07	$4.42	+11.4%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	148	0.261	$38.45	$-18.30	-32.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	108	0.117	$12.62	$-6.01	-32.3%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	65	0.088	$5.77	$1.94	+50.8%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	11	0.445	$4.89	$-1.26	-20.5%
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?	No	5	0.997	$4.70	$0.03	+0.7%
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?	No	5	0.956	$4.51	$0.26	+6.2%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	35	0.122	$4.29	$3.24	+308.3%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	6	0.555	$3.49	$0.66	+23.3%
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	25	0.125	$3.12	$-0.12	-3.8%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	5	0.455	$2.27	$-0.42	-15.7%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	5	0.405	$2.02	$0.03	+1.2%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	26	0.072	$1.86	$0.41	+28.2%
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	5	0.235	$1.17	$-0.13	-9.6%
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	5	0.210	$1.05	$-0.75	-41.7%
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?	No	3	0.335	$1.01	$-1.22	-54.7%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	35	0.028	$0.96	$-0.30	-23.6%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	10	0.090	$0.93	$0.54	+138.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?	Yes	5	0.180	$0.90	$-0.30	-25.0%
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?	Yes	5	0.180	$0.90	$-0.65	-41.9%
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	3	0.260	$0.78	$-0.36	-31.6%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	47	0.013	$0.60	$0.14	+30.0%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?	Yes	5	0.115	$0.57	$-0.32	-36.1%
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?	Yes	3	0.165	$0.54	$-0.25	-31.2%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	2	0.295	$0.49	$-0.14	-22.4%