| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
11,126 |
0.695 |
$7,731.68 |
$-392.88 |
-4.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
7,429 |
0.825 |
$6,128.55 |
$630.24 |
+11.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
10,000 |
0.385 |
$3,849.98 |
$1,442.09 |
+59.9% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
3,000 |
0.790 |
$2,371.50 |
$-105.00 |
-4.2% |
| Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? |
No |
1,878 |
0.955 |
$1,793.55 |
$-9.39 |
-0.5% |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.918 |
$918.50 |
$8.50 |
+0.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.455 |
$909.81 |
$158.76 |
+21.1% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? |
Yes |
934 |
0.861 |
$803.91 |
$419.85 |
+109.3% |
| Blue wave in 2026? |
Yes |
700 |
0.745 |
$521.49 |
$31.67 |
+6.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
600 |
0.730 |
$438.00 |
$-53.20 |
-10.8% |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? |
Yes |
3,410 |
0.125 |
$426.24 |
$-560.23 |
-56.8% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.260 |
$390.00 |
$-195.00 |
-33.3% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
500 |
0.745 |
$372.50 |
$69.00 |
+22.7% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? |
No |
500 |
0.730 |
$365.00 |
$55.00 |
+17.7% |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? |
No |
387 |
0.855 |
$331.19 |
$110.39 |
+50.0% |
| Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
426 |
0.700 |
$298.23 |
$32.32 |
+12.2% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
500 |
0.540 |
$270.25 |
$5.25 |
+2.0% |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
300 |
0.870 |
$261.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? |
No |
305 |
0.815 |
$248.54 |
$104.68 |
+72.8% |
| Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? |
No |
260 |
0.935 |
$243.08 |
$12.70 |
+5.5% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
701 |
0.298 |
$209.34 |
$153.24 |
+273.1% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026? |
Yes |
928 |
0.225 |
$208.73 |
$-224.08 |
-51.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.905 |
$181.00 |
$8.00 |
+4.6% |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
No |
200 |
0.902 |
$180.50 |
$100.70 |
+126.2% |
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
377 |
0.430 |
$162.22 |
$14.85 |
+10.1% |