PnL (30d)

−$22

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

51%

2,214W / 2,103L · 63 open

Win Return (30d)

51%

2,229W / 2,114L · 37 open

Trades (30d)

4,380

across 1,975 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.01

avg win $2 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.98

$1,446 won / $1,469 lost

Reward / Risk

1.08

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$63

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	51.3% 2,214W/2,103L	1975	$4,340
₿ Crypto	27.3% 21W/56L	74	$89
🌤 Weather	25.3% 20W/59L	52	$76

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	7	0.700	$4.67	$2.67	+133.3%
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Yes	3	0.520	$1.56	$0.35	+29.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?	No	3	0.445	$1.45	$0.08	+5.9%
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	17	0.037	$0.62	$-0.42	-40.8%
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	No	10	0.058	$0.59	$-0.41	-41.5%