PnL (30d)

−$418

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$53

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-31.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

42%

21W / 29L · 168 open

Win Return (30d)

64%

139W / 77L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

218

across 48 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$38.01

avg win $21 · loss $196

Profit Factor

0.29

$171 won / $589 lost

Reward / Risk

0.11

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.6% 144W/186L	145	$9,024
₿ Crypto	100.0% 6W/0L	33	$624
💵 Economy	100.0% 6W/0L	29	$616
🤖 Tech	—	9	$69
🏛 Politics	100.0% 5W/0L	8	$280
🎬 Culture	—	2	$10
🔬 Science	—	1	$10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	4,943	0.080	$395.47	$64.61	+19.5%
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	1,316	0.185	$243.39	$-33.78	-12.2%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	3,320	0.055	$182.60	$-78.38	-30.0%
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?	Yes	221	0.801	$176.95	$40.69	+29.9%
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	2,599	0.065	$168.94	$-125.30	-42.6%
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	2,861	0.050	$143.06	$-73.19	-33.8%
Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?	Yes	163	0.792	$129.38	$18.12	+16.3%
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	812	0.150	$121.83	$-92.54	-43.2%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	5,496	0.019	$107.17	$-37.65	-26.0%
Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 31?	Yes	416	0.220	$91.22	$86.65	+1898.5%
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?	Yes	613	0.135	$82.72	$-69.44	-45.6%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	420	0.185	$77.70	$-6.30	-7.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	210	0.305	$64.05	$30.45	+90.6%
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	474	0.135	$63.94	$-5.44	-7.8%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,500	0.038	$57.75	$2.25	+4.1%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	170	0.325	$55.13	$16.49	+42.7%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	2,222	0.024	$53.32	$5.30	+11.0%
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.04 before 2027?	Yes	200	0.265	$53.00	$-29.00	-35.4%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	130	0.395	$51.35	$1.45	+2.9%
Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	60	0.831	$49.86	$-4.44	-8.2%
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?	Yes	60	0.819	$49.11	$-6.21	-11.2%
Will Sui reach $1.80 before 2027?	Yes	208	0.235	$48.81	$-35.39	-42.0%
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	106	0.420	$44.60	$-5.45	-10.9%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	60	0.743	$44.58	$0.66	+1.5%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	365	0.120	$43.80	$0.42	+1.0%