| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
60,000 |
0.835 |
$50,099.99 |
$-899.76 |
-1.8% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
50,000 |
0.790 |
$39,525.00 |
$14,525.00 |
+58.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
19,459 |
0.959 |
$18,651.48 |
$321.13 |
+1.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
18,822 |
0.969 |
$18,229.58 |
$-202.66 |
-1.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
17,000 |
0.976 |
$16,583.49 |
$76.50 |
+0.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
16,372 |
0.985 |
$16,117.91 |
$116.24 |
+0.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
15,000 |
0.999 |
$14,977.50 |
$202.50 |
+1.4% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
50,000 |
0.209 |
$10,475.00 |
$-14,525.00 |
-58.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
40,621 |
0.215 |
$8,733.43 |
$-7,775.40 |
-47.1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
8,000 |
0.930 |
$7,440.00 |
$320.00 |
+4.5% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.625 |
$6,249.99 |
$-2,950.00 |
-32.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
4,208 |
0.945 |
$3,976.76 |
$315.62 |
+8.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
802 |
0.895 |
$718.19 |
$68.21 |
+10.5% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
613 |
0.938 |
$574.84 |
$11.96 |
+2.1% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
110 |
0.927 |
$102.38 |
$2.92 |
+2.9% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
Yes |
311 |
0.055 |
$17.13 |
$-23.35 |
-57.7% |