| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
25,067 |
0.905 |
$22,685.80 |
$2,365.06 |
+11.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
33,641 |
0.555 |
$18,670.77 |
$2,166.68 |
+13.1% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
No |
9,515 |
0.925 |
$8,801.80 |
$1,769.57 |
+25.2% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
14,052 |
0.540 |
$7,595.32 |
$-653.69 |
-7.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
24,134 |
0.264 |
$6,359.27 |
$-1,967.34 |
-23.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
40,000 |
0.135 |
$5,400.05 |
$-1,792.30 |
-24.9% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
5,452 |
0.645 |
$3,516.70 |
$1,104.77 |
+45.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
6,000 |
0.380 |
$2,280.00 |
$-360.00 |
-13.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
4,902 |
0.445 |
$2,181.24 |
$63.05 |
+3.0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
2,313 |
0.849 |
$1,962.43 |
$10.01 |
+0.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
2,607 |
0.737 |
$1,920.19 |
$-3.19 |
-0.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
1,690 |
0.935 |
$1,580.14 |
$870.34 |
+122.6% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
1,500 |
0.945 |
$1,417.50 |
$37.50 |
+2.7% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
4,866 |
0.278 |
$1,350.45 |
$19.32 |
+1.5% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,922 |
0.460 |
$1,342.88 |
$147.83 |
+12.4% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
Yes |
16,816 |
0.055 |
$924.90 |
$-3,012.87 |
-76.5% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
7,000 |
0.114 |
$794.51 |
$-2,010.83 |
-71.7% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
4,929 |
0.151 |
$746.81 |
$107.98 |
+16.9% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8,409 |
0.080 |
$672.72 |
$-2,314.92 |
-77.5% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,033 |
0.395 |
$407.90 |
$40.78 |
+11.1% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
3,790 |
0.095 |
$360.02 |
$-1,831.17 |
-83.6% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
12,379 |
0.025 |
$303.29 |
$-584.40 |
-65.8% |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
8,586 |
0.035 |
$296.21 |
$-1,015.13 |
-77.4% |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
21,000 |
0.005 |
$115.50 |
$-1,465.87 |
-92.7% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
Yes |
1,435 |
0.075 |
$107.62 |
$-64.57 |
-37.5% |