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Trader

0xc0a612d151395266c3469edcc4a2a6bfda172ab9
PnL (30d)
−$114
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$276
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
15W / 9L · 18 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
28W / 14L
Trades (30d)
42
across 25 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$8.14
avg win $13 · loss $29
Profit Factor
0.44
$91 won / $205 lost
Reward / Risk
0.44
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $716 · all-time $493,379

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 62.5% 15W/9L 25 $3,597
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/2L 4 $1,387

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31? Yes 637 0.990 $630.57 $3.44 +0.5%
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No 162 0.895 $145.19 $26.38 +22.2%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? No 452 0.195 $88.14 $-316.49 -78.2%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes 42 0.625 $26.56 $6.56 +32.8%
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? Yes 40 0.595 $24.10 $-9.92 -29.2%
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes 143 0.145 $20.71 $-79.29 -79.3%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? No 21 0.968 $20.70 $0.70 +3.5%
Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 25 0.750 $18.75 $-1.50 -7.4%
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? Yes 101 0.176 $17.90 $7.82 +77.6%
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No 20 0.830 $16.60 $1.20 +7.8%
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? Yes 20 0.535 $10.70 $2.70 +33.7%
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes 80 0.105 $8.40 $-38.00 -81.9%
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No 30 0.205 $6.15 $-11.49 -65.1%
Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes 122 0.049 $6.00 $-2.80 -31.8%
ICE Agent charged in Maine incident by August 31? Yes 10 0.415 $4.15 $2.15 +107.5%
Will Oscar Isaac – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? Yes 7 0.595 $3.93 $1.22 +45.1%
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? Yes 65 0.043 $2.78 $-21.27 -88.4%
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 110 0.003 $0.28 $-4.78 -94.6%