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Trader

0xc0947c24ae3c045f2d676d8687beaa2f0383c8d4
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$105
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-43.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
8%
3W / 34L
Win Return (30d)
8%
3W / 34L
Trades (30d)
37
across 11 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$9.51
avg win $5 · loss $13
Profit Factor
0.09
$11 won / $115 lost
Reward / Risk
0.42
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$82
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,142 · all-time $1,280,837

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 48.1% 2,437W/2,629L 710 $98,581
⚽ Sports 36.2% 38W/67L 44 $1,036
💵 Economy 100.0% 78W/0L 9 $1,479
🌤 Weather 15.8% 3W/16L 9 $216
₿ Crypto 7 $351
🏛 Politics 100.0% 78W/0L 6 $3,645
🤖 Tech 1 $122
🎬 Culture 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 542 0.740 $400.62 $1.03 +0.3%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No 432 0.510 $220.57 $-0.06 -0.0%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No 260 0.595 $154.70 $-1.30 -0.8%
Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 114 0.914 $104.65 $3.56 +3.5%
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves San Francisco Giants 200 0.455 $91.00 $-7.50 -7.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 5? No 63 0.924 $58.36 $-2.55 -4.2%
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026? No 46 0.986 $45.36 $0.74 +1.6%
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 60 0.755 $45.30 $3.90 +9.4%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 54 0.845 $45.21 $0.14 +0.3%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twins LG Twins 69 0.525 $36.19 $-2.52 -6.5%
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs Zeu5 Esports 40 0.850 $34.00 $0.40 +1.2%
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? No 46 0.670 $31.16 $-7.97 -20.4%
Will Hylo launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 28 0.930 $26.07 $0.28 +1.1%
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes 202 0.115 $23.23 $3.24 +16.2%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs Toronto Blue Jays 47 0.470 $21.97 $-0.37 -1.7%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 18 0.966 $17.70 $0.49 +2.8%
Valantis FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 15 0.740 $11.42 $3.06 +36.5%
LoL: BoostGate Esports vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins SU Esports 10 0.905 $8.60 $0.33 +4.0%
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 181 0.043 $7.86 $-22.23 -73.9%
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? No 7 0.971 $6.50 $0.27 +4.4%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes 39 0.105 $4.09 $-4.09 -50.0%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 8 0.470 $4.00 $-0.25 -6.0%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 8 0.445 $3.78 $0.64 +20.3%
Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-08-06? No 6 0.595 $3.57 $0.15 +4.4%
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-08? No 8 0.430 $3.23 $-0.15 -4.5%