| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.997 |
$5.52 |
$0.52 |
+10.4% |
| Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%? |
No |
5 |
1.000 |
$5.43 |
$0.43 |
+8.6% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
5 |
0.999 |
$5.37 |
$0.37 |
+7.4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.988 |
$5.37 |
$0.37 |
+7.4% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
6 |
0.967 |
$5.37 |
$0.37 |
+7.4% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.994 |
$5.34 |
$0.34 |
+6.9% |
| Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? |
No |
5 |
0.981 |
$5.27 |
$0.27 |
+5.4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
6 |
0.930 |
$5.17 |
$0.17 |
+3.3% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
5 |
0.945 |
$5.14 |
$0.14 |
+2.7% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
5 |
0.997 |
$5.12 |
$0.12 |
+2.4% |
| Will Jake Merrick win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
5 |
1.000 |
$5.12 |
$0.12 |
+2.3% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
5 |
0.996 |
$5.11 |
$0.11 |
+2.3% |
| Will Mark Lynch place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? |
No |
5 |
0.981 |
$5.11 |
$0.11 |
+2.1% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
5 |
0.987 |
$5.11 |
$0.11 |
+2.1% |
| Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
5 |
0.979 |
$5.09 |
$0.09 |
+1.8% |
| Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
No |
5 |
0.990 |
$5.07 |
$0.07 |
+1.3% |
| Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 8–12%? |
No |
5 |
0.993 |
$5.06 |
$0.06 |
+1.3% |
| Will Ginger Murray be the WI-07 Democratic nominee? |
No |
5 |
0.985 |
$5.06 |
$0.06 |
+1.2% |
| Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
5 |
0.989 |
$5.06 |
$0.06 |
+1.1% |
| Will Adam Schwarze be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? |
No |
5 |
0.985 |
$5.04 |
$0.04 |
+0.8% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
5 |
0.987 |
$5.03 |
$0.03 |
+0.7% |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? |
No |
5 |
0.946 |
$5.03 |
$0.03 |
+0.6% |
| Will Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 12–16%? |
No |
5 |
0.975 |
$5.03 |
$0.03 |
+0.5% |
| Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
No |
5 |
0.980 |
$5.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.3% |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
5 |
0.974 |
$5.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.1% |