PnL (30d)

−$207

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$91

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-24.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

29%

4W / 10L · 14 open

Win Return (30d)

64%

18W / 10L

Trades (30d)

28

across 4 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$69.10

avg win $1,138 · loss $673

Profit Factor

0.85

$1,138 won / $1,345 lost

Reward / Risk

1.69

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	16.7% 7W/35L	11	$30,656
🏛 Politics	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$1,671

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	22,844	0.385	$8,795.13	$5,695.98	+183.8%
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	4,568	0.495	$2,261.39	$180.69	+8.7%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	6,654	0.250	$1,663.45	$51.01	+3.2%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	10,500	0.055	$577.50	$-1,698.45	-74.6%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	1,541	0.195	$300.46	$101.47	+51.0%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	503	0.265	$133.33	$-135.30	-50.4%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	2,500	0.042	$103.75	$-526.25	-83.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	751	0.115	$86.36	$-63.33	-42.3%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	926	0.072	$67.16	$-19.27	-22.3%
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	248	0.265	$65.78	$-48.40	-42.4%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	89	0.051	$4.48	$-60.47	-93.1%