PnL (30d)

+$6

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$343

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

87%

384W / 56L · 20,487 open

Win Return (30d)

53%

11,012W / 9,908L · 7 open

Trades (30d)

20,927

across 166 markets · ~126 per market

EV / position

+$0.75

avg win $12 · loss $79

Profit Factor

1.08

$85 won / $79 lost

Reward / Risk

0.15

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	91.1% 2,756W/270L	192	$99,875
🏛 Politics	—	74	$24,270

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	29,338	0.007	$220.03	$-827.74	-79.0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	328	0.645	$211.56	$201.31	+1964.0%
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	67,401	0.003	$168.50	$-358.03	-68.0%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	275	0.460	$126.36	$124.21	+5782.0%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	140	0.853	$119.35	$118.21	+10385.9%
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	67,401	0.002	$101.10	$-425.44	-80.8%
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	67,401	0.002	$101.10	$-425.44	-80.8%
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	67,401	0.002	$101.10	$-425.44	-80.8%
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	67,401	0.002	$101.10	$-425.44	-80.8%
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	67,401	0.002	$101.10	$-425.44	-80.8%
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	67,401	0.002	$101.10	$-425.44	-80.8%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	100	0.987	$98.65	$48.65	+97.3%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	328	0.270	$88.56	$78.31	+764.0%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	2,241	0.030	$68.35	$50.13	+275.2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	241	0.278	$66.88	$64.99	+3452.2%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	103	0.512	$52.88	$49.19	+1333.6%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	150	0.298	$44.77	$-30.23	-40.3%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	48	0.823	$39.48	$38.64	+4588.5%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	150	0.255	$38.25	$37.08	+3164.2%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	136	0.209	$28.49	$27.43	+2581.8%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	18,800	0.002	$28.20	$-118.67	-80.8%
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	18,800	0.002	$28.20	$-118.67	-80.8%
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	18,800	0.002	$28.20	$-118.67	-80.8%
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	18,800	0.002	$28.20	$-118.67	-80.8%
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	18,800	0.002	$28.20	$-118.67	-80.8%