PnL (30d)

+$427

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$375

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+5.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

5W / 5L · 58 open

Win Return (30d)

41%

28W / 40L

Trades (30d)

68

across 24 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$85.39

avg win $242 · loss $19

Profit Factor

8.38

$485 won / $58 lost

Reward / Risk

12.57

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$28

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	20.8% 25W/95L	82	$34,594
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/3L	7	$4,100
₿ Crypto	—	4	$925
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/3L	1	$172

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

116 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	9,445	0.645	$6,091.85	$2,091.87	+52.3%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	4,975	0.974	$4,845.32	$1,345.33	+38.4%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	2,667	1.000	$2,665.42	$465.42	+21.2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	2,273	0.355	$806.82	$-193.18	-19.3%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	1,919	0.394	$755.26	$239.99	+46.6%
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	2,295	0.220	$504.89	$458.99	+1000.0%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	877	0.515	$451.75	$-48.24	-9.6%
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	1,038	0.417	$432.67	$332.36	+331.3%
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	2,661	0.157	$416.49	$320.60	+334.3%
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	1,048	0.233	$244.29	$-60.47	-19.8%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	1,875	0.085	$159.38	$9.38	+6.2%
Will Flávio Roscoe win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	495	0.294	$145.91	$129.39	+783.5%
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?	Yes	517	0.190	$98.17	$-111.83	-53.3%
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	2,578	0.038	$97.96	$27.15	+38.3%
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	3,013	0.030	$91.89	$9.66	+11.8%
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	495	0.181	$89.92	$73.41	+444.5%
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	No	1,815	0.043	$77.13	$-122.87	-61.4%
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?	Yes	75	0.991	$73.97	$33.97	+84.9%
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	2,559	0.027	$69.10	$16.87	+32.3%
Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	2,295	0.029	$66.55	$20.65	+45.0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	11,443	0.005	$62.94	$-182.50	-74.4%
Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	495	0.125	$61.93	$45.42	+275.0%
Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	495	0.119	$59.21	$42.69	+258.5%
Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	495	0.117	$57.72	$41.20	+249.5%
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	2,559	0.021	$54.77	$2.54	+4.9%