PnL (30d)

−$1,820

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$11

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-70.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

37%

31W / 53L · 17 open

Win Return (30d)

34%

34W / 67L

Trades (30d)

101

across 44 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$44.40

avg win $13 · loss $94

Profit Factor

0.12

$246 won / $2,066 lost

Reward / Risk

0.14

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$157

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	36.9% 31W/53L	44	$2,703
🤖 Tech	—	1	$24
🏛 Politics	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$50
🎬 Culture	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$50

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	595	0.870	$517.31	$-41.42	-7.4%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	100	0.893	$89.30	$-4.00	-4.3%
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	28	0.360	$10.08	$-1.15	-10.2%
Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	128	0.045	$5.82	$-6.64	-53.3%
Will Luis Carlos Heinze win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	248	0.002	$0.37	$-0.12	-25.0%