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Trader leaderboard/calm123

calm123

0xbfa85301f2081e9d590f61169b1b520b38a5cd1e
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$96
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$26
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-15.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
17%
5W / 25L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
24%
8W / 25L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
35
across 15 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$7.99
avg win $35 · loss $22
Profit Factor
0.53
$106 won / $202 lost
Reward / Risk
1.58
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$72
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $13,428 · all-time $555,641

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 46.4% 284W/328L 321 $18,167
⚽ Sports 51.7% 91W/85L 90 $6,342
₿ Crypto 43.8% 7W/9L 7 $50
🏛 Politics 8.3% 1W/11L 6 $238
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/11L 5 $218
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $20

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026? No 160 0.621 $99.61 $-20.39 -17.0%
Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 481 0.204 $98.34 $58.34 +145.9%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 120 0.415 $49.80 $19.80 +66.0%
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 334 0.092 $30.75 $-19.25 -38.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? Yes 28 0.998 $28.04 $18.04 +180.4%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 105 0.245 $25.79 $5.79 +28.9%
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? Yes 54 0.395 $21.16 $6.16 +41.1%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes 43 0.455 $19.36 $-0.64 -3.2%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 111 0.145 $16.11 $6.11 +61.1%
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 54 0.240 $12.97 $-7.03 -35.1%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 29 0.405 $11.91 $1.91 +19.1%
Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026? Yes 22 0.495 $11.00 $1.00 +10.0%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 125 0.075 $9.38 $-0.62 -6.2%
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 167 0.037 $6.25 $-3.75 -37.5%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 83 0.065 $5.42 $-4.58 -45.8%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 32 0.135 $4.29 $-15.71 -78.6%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 17 0.055 $0.92 $-9.08 -90.8%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? Yes 40 0.001 $0.02 $-9.98 -99.8%