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Trader leaderboard/hilaobote

hilaobote

0xbf982860a233f6932be6a82efd13e3a2f37fd0bf
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$182
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$35
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-28.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
43%
10W / 13L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
43%
13W / 17L
Trades (30d)
30
across 13 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$26.07
avg win $5 · loss $39
Profit Factor
0.06
$11 won / $193 lost
Reward / Risk
0.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$71
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,350 · all-time $254,940

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 57.0% 86W/65L 96 $4,072
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/4L 6 $204
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 5 $125
🏛 Politics 3 $17
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/3L 2 $94
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $16
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

32 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 901 0.615 $554.31 $-168.69 -23.3%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 373 0.185 $68.97 $-41.03 -37.3%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 76 0.910 $68.94 $18.94 +37.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? No 105 0.575 $60.53 $20.53 +51.3%
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes 779 0.065 $50.66 $-128.78 -71.8%
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes 74 0.655 $48.22 $-6.78 -12.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? No 103 0.445 $45.64 $5.64 +14.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes 114 0.350 $39.77 $-10.23 -20.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 104 0.365 $38.02 $-11.98 -24.0%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes 572 0.055 $31.47 $-91.43 -74.4%
Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026? No 51 0.335 $17.20 $-7.26 -29.7%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 26 0.515 $13.21 $3.21 +32.1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in August? No 114 0.110 $12.58 $-37.42 -74.8%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? No 83 0.135 $11.25 $1.25 +12.5%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 100 0.107 $10.70 $0.70 +7.0%
Will Solana reach $90 by December 31, 2026? No 29 0.360 $10.28 $-4.28 -29.4%
Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election? No 303 0.034 $10.15 $0.15 +1.5%
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 39 0.175 $6.81 $-7.19 -51.4%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? No 100 0.065 $6.50 $1.50 +30.0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 174 0.021 $3.57 $-0.43 -10.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-01 House seat? No 85 0.041 $3.43 $-1.57 -31.4%
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%? No 120 0.021 $2.46 $-1.54 -38.5%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? Yes 50 0.045 $2.26 $-1.43 -38.8%
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes 72 0.029 $2.11 $-9.25 -81.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? Yes 111 0.015 $1.67 $-8.33 -83.3%