| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
24,999 |
0.825 |
$20,624.43 |
$126.55 |
+0.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
15,472 |
0.905 |
$14,001.81 |
$1,935.48 |
+16.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
13,000 |
0.875 |
$11,374.99 |
$127.43 |
+1.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
5,596 |
0.845 |
$4,728.81 |
$755.69 |
+19.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
2,858 |
0.815 |
$2,329.32 |
$571.35 |
+32.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,000 |
0.655 |
$1,965.00 |
$15.00 |
+0.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
19,165 |
0.095 |
$1,820.63 |
$-5,776.28 |
-76.0% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
Yes |
4,729 |
0.215 |
$1,016.80 |
$-520.55 |
-33.9% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
1,347 |
0.685 |
$922.74 |
$6.74 |
+0.7% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
320 |
0.716 |
$229.02 |
$-34.06 |
-12.9% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? |
No |
240 |
0.630 |
$151.51 |
$-23.89 |
-13.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
300 |
0.385 |
$115.50 |
$-31.50 |
-21.4% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
147 |
0.665 |
$97.79 |
$-2.21 |
-2.2% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.855 |
$85.50 |
$10.50 |
+14.0% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
955 |
0.049 |
$46.31 |
$-1.43 |
-3.0% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
20 |
0.830 |
$16.60 |
$0.80 |
+5.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.976 |
$9.76 |
$1.65 |
+20.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.962 |
$9.62 |
$1.92 |
+24.9% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.952 |
$4.76 |
$0.03 |
+0.7% |
| Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? |
No |
5 |
0.875 |
$4.38 |
$0.03 |
+0.6% |