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Trader leaderboard/adspokposs

adspokposs

0xbf1472b80cc2a7b84d3cb1c544735cb7d9d25d95
PnL (30d)
+$66
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
2,483W / 1,880L · 824 open
Win Return (30d)
59%
3,048W / 2,107L · 32 open
Trades (30d)
5,187
across 445 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
+$0.20
avg win $2 · loss $1
Profit Factor
1.23
$351 won / $285 lost
Reward / Risk
1.57
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$15
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,953 · all-time $2,205,973

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 56.9% 2,483W/1,880L 445 $8,351
🏛 Politics 61.3% 133W/84L 37 $702
💵 Economy 58.3% 7W/5L 11 $42
🎬 Culture 61.3% 119W/75L 9 $310
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/4L 4 $10
⚽ Sports 1 $9

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

42 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Yes 25 0.203 $5.08 $0.06 +1.2%
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? No 5 0.765 $3.74 $2.86 +324.4%
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027? Yes 29 0.125 $3.57 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? No 83 0.025 $2.10 $0.44 +26.8%
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 3 0.587 $1.70 $0.22 +14.6%
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? No 5 0.325 $1.62 $-0.27 -14.5%
Will Fred Harding win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? Yes 29 0.055 $1.62 $-0.38 -19.1%
Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 4 0.350 $1.36 $0.85 +169.2%
Will Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? Yes 10 0.134 $1.34 $0.08 +6.3%
Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2027? No 2 0.650 $1.27 $0.82 +182.6%
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01? Yes 1 0.735 $1.04 $0.26 +33.6%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 3 0.295 $0.74 $-0.21 -22.4%
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? Yes 2 0.270 $0.68 $-0.70 -50.9%
Will Rick Edmonds be the Republican nominee for LA-05? Yes 24 0.025 $0.60 $-1.90 -76.1%
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes 3 0.175 $0.59 $-0.42 -41.7%
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes 26 0.022 $0.59 $-0.20 -25.0%
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? Yes 1 0.545 $0.55 $0.09 +18.5%
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes 58 0.006 $0.38 $-0.96 -71.7%
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? Yes 4 0.098 $0.35 $-0.19 -35.5%
Will Donald Trump endorse Tulsi Gabbard in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes 11 0.029 $0.32 $0.10 +47.5%
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes 2 0.141 $0.32 $0.04 +14.0%
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes 2 0.140 $0.28 $-0.09 -24.3%
Will Donald Trump endorse Ivanka Trump in the 2028 US Presidential election? Yes 11 0.025 $0.28 $-0.16 -37.5%
Will South African inflation be between 2.6% and 2.9% in 2026? Yes 51 0.005 $0.25 $-0.81 -76.2%
Will LDPR win the next Orenburg Oblast Parliament elections? Yes 7 0.035 $0.25 $0.11 +76.9%