PnL (30d)

+$42

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$85

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+8.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

93%

65W / 5L · 92 open

Win Return (30d)

97%

157W / 5L

Trades (30d)

162

across 12 markets · ~14 per market

EV / position

+$5.96

avg win $11 · loss $24

Profit Factor

2.77

$65 won / $24 lost

Reward / Risk

0.46

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	62.0% 7,151W/4,391L	516	$54,092
🏛 Politics	28.0% 7W/18L	84	$4,931
⚽ Sports	—	33	$650
💵 Economy	100.0% 3W/0L	14	$1,088
🤖 Tech	100.0% 10W/0L	10	$221
₿ Crypto	100.0% 6W/0L	7	$526
🎬 Culture	—	6	$198
🔬 Science	—	2	$110

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	151,000	0.003	$377.50	$-228.31	-37.7%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	143,000	0.003	$357.50	$-193.34	-35.1%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	82,643	0.004	$289.25	$-81.98	-22.1%
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	73,000	0.004	$255.50	$-184.47	-41.9%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	71,000	0.004	$248.50	$-35.50	-12.5%
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	96,420	0.003	$241.05	$-94.40	-28.1%
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	82,000	0.003	$205.00	$-155.96	-43.2%
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	81,000	0.003	$202.50	$-40.50	-16.7%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	134,136	0.002	$201.20	$-269.88	-57.3%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	49,999	0.004	$175.00	$-25.00	-12.5%
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	111,155	0.002	$166.73	$-11.00	-6.2%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	61,210	0.003	$153.03	$-153.03	-50.0%
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	61,000	0.003	$152.50	$-152.50	-50.0%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	42,963	0.004	$150.37	$-99.33	-39.8%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	21,000	0.006	$136.50	$-10.50	-7.1%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	53,000	0.003	$132.50	$-114.43	-46.3%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	4,350	0.029	$128.32	$69.77	+119.2%
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	51,000	0.003	$127.50	$-178.45	-58.3%
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	51,000	0.003	$127.50	$-178.50	-58.3%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	51,000	0.003	$127.50	$-178.45	-58.3%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	51,000	0.003	$127.50	$-76.50	-37.5%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50,999	0.003	$127.50	$-178.44	-58.3%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50,000	0.003	$125.00	$-75.00	-37.5%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	22,000	0.005	$121.00	$-32.98	-21.4%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	21,000	0.005	$115.50	$-31.48	-21.4%