PnL (30d)

−$9

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

75%

3W / 1L · 14 open

Win Return (30d)

67%

12W / 6L

Trades (30d)

18

across 18 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$2.22

avg win $1 · loss $12

Profit Factor

0.27

$3 won / $12 lost

Reward / Risk

0.09

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$12

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	75.0% 3W/1L	18	$21
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	12	$14
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	4	$3
🎬 Culture	—	2	$3
⚽ Sports	50.0% 1W/1L	2	$3
₿ Crypto	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$1
🤖 Tech	—	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	67	0.007	$0.51	$-0.50	-50.0%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	8	0.065	$0.50	$-0.51	-50.0%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	9	0.045	$0.41	$-0.19	-32.1%
Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026?	Yes	15	0.022	$0.32	$-0.19	-37.1%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?	Yes	7	0.038	$0.26	$-0.74	-74.3%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	168	0.002	$0.25	$-0.76	-75.0%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	7	0.013	$0.08	$-0.93	-91.9%