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Trader leaderboard/miya2016

miya2016

0xbecd15376741fc12ffaa2553d296959c338cf54e
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$116
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-18.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
30%
3W / 7L · 20 open
Win Return (30d)
63%
19W / 11L
Trades (30d)
30
across 10 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$38.53
avg win $0 · loss $116
Profit Factor
0.00
$1 won / $116 lost
Reward / Risk
0.00
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $91,085

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 68.2% 58W/27L 34 $3,009
🏛 Politics 1 $7

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes 378 0.915 $345.86 $12.21 +3.7%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 349 0.963 $335.91 $11.30 +3.5%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No 307 0.955 $293.19 $7.25 +2.5%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 284 0.972 $276.02 $3.36 +1.2%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 249 0.964 $240.16 $28.26 +13.3%
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No 242 0.895 $216.41 $0.20 +0.1%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No 172 0.940 $161.68 $-1.72 -1.1%
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No 163 0.956 $155.69 $2.72 +1.8%
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No 151 0.945 $142.27 $3.14 +2.3%
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 132 0.950 $125.40 $3.52 +2.9%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No 129 0.955 $123.19 $1.93 +1.6%
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 84 0.966 $81.14 $3.11 +4.0%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No 75 0.825 $61.88 $0.88 +1.4%
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 57 0.978 $55.68 $1.28 +2.4%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 60 0.915 $54.90 $-0.92 -1.6%
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? No 43 0.989 $42.51 $1.87 +4.6%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No 43 0.955 $41.06 $0.65 +1.6%
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? No 31 0.994 $30.81 $0.78 +2.6%
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No 29 0.929 $26.96 $0.25 +0.9%
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No 21 0.960 $20.15 $1.46 +7.8%
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 15 0.930 $14.10 $0.15 +1.1%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes 81 0.125 $10.12 $-19.97 -66.4%
Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026? No 9 0.993 $8.94 $0.21 +2.4%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 8 0.895 $7.16 $0.68 +10.5%
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 7 0.982 $6.87 $0.36 +5.6%