Log in
Trader leaderboard/Trader

Trader

0xbeb167a6c472df9fad8aac13ff1d6ad8eb2f2630
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$0
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
2W / 4L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
5W / 4L
Trades (30d)
9
across 7 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.08
avg win $3 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.89
$3 won / $4 lost
Reward / Risk
3.57
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $277 · all-time $93,411

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 34.9% 101W/188L 272 $599
🎬 Culture 37.5% 3W/5L 8 $16
⚽ Sports 37.5% 3W/5L 7 $18
💵 Economy 33.3% 1W/2L 3 $8
🤖 Tech 66.7% 2W/1L 3 $10
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/1L 3 $20
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 3 $5
🌤 Weather 2 $15
₿ Crypto 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

57 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31? No 10 0.850 $8.50 $5.90 +226.9%
Will Hong Kong have 700mm or more of precipitation in August? No 10 0.770 $7.70 $5.10 +196.1%
Will London have 80mm or more of precipitation in August? No 10 0.740 $7.40 $4.80 +184.6%
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? No 10 0.540 $5.40 $2.80 +107.7%
Will "Pluribus" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? No 10 0.535 $5.35 $2.85 +114.0%
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? Yes 10 0.520 $5.20 $2.60 +100.0%
Will Cap reach $0.10 before 2027? No 5 0.845 $4.22 $2.82 +201.8%
Dua Lipa pregnant in 2026? No 5 0.825 $4.12 $2.72 +194.6%
Will Western Digital (WDC) Q4 exabytes shipped be above 255? No 5 0.795 $3.98 $2.67 +205.8%
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? No 5 0.785 $3.92 $2.47 +170.7%
Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee? No 5 0.715 $3.58 $2.38 +197.9%
Will Cap dip to $0.015 before 2027? No 5 0.695 $3.47 $2.17 +167.3%
Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? No 5 0.680 $3.40 $2.10 +161.5%
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? Yes 5 0.675 $3.38 $2.27 +206.8%
Will Cap dip to $0.01 before 2027? No 5 0.670 $3.35 $2.00 +148.1%
California Tax Spend Audit Proposition Yes 6 0.535 $3.21 $2.13 +197.2%
Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Will an IGL win a 1v3+ Clutch? Yes 7 0.453 $3.17 $2.05 +182.8%
Will Doctor Strange die in Avengers: Doomsday? No 5 0.605 $3.02 $1.73 +132.7%
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.295 $2.95 $1.15 +63.9%
Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat? Yes 5 0.580 $2.90 $1.60 +123.1%
Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday? No 5 0.515 $2.58 $1.27 +98.1%
CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) <87.5%? No 5 0.490 $2.45 $1.20 +96.0%
Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation on August 31? No 10 0.235 $2.35 $-0.25 -9.6%
Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday? No 5 0.455 $2.27 $0.97 +75.0%
Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? Yes 6 0.355 $2.13 $1.11 +108.8%