| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? |
No |
12,784 |
0.945 |
$12,081.29 |
$628.98 |
+5.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
9,049 |
0.865 |
$7,827.37 |
$256.75 |
+3.4% |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? |
Yes |
7,903 |
0.962 |
$7,602.70 |
$521.03 |
+7.4% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
8,541 |
0.886 |
$7,571.75 |
$441.55 |
+6.2% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? |
No |
5,631 |
0.954 |
$5,368.99 |
$305.29 |
+6.0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
5,200 |
0.985 |
$5,119.37 |
$22.21 |
+0.4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
5,435 |
0.935 |
$5,081.52 |
$81.52 |
+1.6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5,276 |
0.905 |
$4,774.96 |
$1,093.88 |
+29.7% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5,000 |
0.925 |
$4,625.00 |
$125.00 |
+2.8% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
No |
4,965 |
0.885 |
$4,393.85 |
$270.47 |
+6.6% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
4,627 |
0.945 |
$4,372.70 |
$180.50 |
+4.3% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
6,018 |
0.625 |
$3,761.08 |
$210.58 |
+5.9% |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
3,969 |
0.905 |
$3,591.78 |
$420.83 |
+13.3% |
| Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? |
No |
3,520 |
0.925 |
$3,255.73 |
$137.04 |
+4.4% |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
3,588 |
0.895 |
$3,211.70 |
$294.48 |
+10.1% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
2,239 |
0.930 |
$2,082.16 |
$82.16 |
+4.1% |
| Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027? |
No |
2,041 |
0.979 |
$1,997.15 |
$164.99 |
+9.0% |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? |
No |
1,520 |
0.960 |
$1,458.23 |
$91.10 |
+6.7% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? |
Yes |
6,540 |
0.210 |
$1,373.48 |
$-191.99 |
-12.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
1,943 |
0.685 |
$1,331.27 |
$120.78 |
+10.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
2,556 |
0.455 |
$1,162.97 |
$-192.69 |
-14.2% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
977 |
0.905 |
$884.05 |
$66.69 |
+8.2% |
| Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? |
No |
904 |
0.950 |
$858.27 |
$33.26 |
+4.0% |
| Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
880 |
0.905 |
$796.40 |
$13.20 |
+1.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat? |
Yes |
795 |
0.915 |
$727.09 |
$3.97 |
+0.5% |