| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
750 |
0.944 |
$708.00 |
$50.50 |
+7.7% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
410 |
0.604 |
$247.63 |
$-45.17 |
-15.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
275 |
0.855 |
$235.12 |
$92.63 |
+65.0% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
650 |
0.356 |
$231.71 |
$-16.22 |
-6.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
220 |
0.675 |
$148.50 |
$2.30 |
+1.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
No |
270 |
0.545 |
$147.15 |
$-0.25 |
-0.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
150 |
0.785 |
$117.75 |
$39.75 |
+51.0% |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.805 |
$80.50 |
$-6.80 |
-7.8% |
| Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? |
Yes |
150 |
0.530 |
$79.50 |
$4.50 |
+6.0% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
200 |
0.365 |
$73.00 |
$-1.00 |
-1.4% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
502 |
0.143 |
$72.09 |
$11.25 |
+18.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
109 |
0.450 |
$49.12 |
$-1.00 |
-2.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.485 |
$48.50 |
$10.50 |
+27.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
130 |
0.325 |
$42.25 |
$-7.15 |
-14.5% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? |
Yes |
50 |
0.795 |
$39.75 |
$3.75 |
+10.4% |
| RFK Jr. Out by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.325 |
$32.50 |
$8.50 |
+35.4% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
220 |
0.135 |
$29.70 |
$-20.90 |
-41.3% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
50 |
0.540 |
$27.02 |
$-6.42 |
-19.2% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
50 |
0.512 |
$25.62 |
$5.22 |
+25.6% |
| Government shutdown by October 1? |
Yes |
100 |
0.210 |
$21.00 |
$-14.00 |
-40.0% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
Yes |
121 |
0.170 |
$20.50 |
$-32.16 |
-61.1% |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
119 |
0.140 |
$16.66 |
$-3.57 |
-17.6% |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? |
No |
404 |
0.037 |
$15.14 |
$-7.75 |
-33.9% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
Yes |
100 |
0.125 |
$12.50 |
$-6.00 |
-32.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.095 |
$9.50 |
$-1.50 |
-13.6% |