PnL (30d)

−$44

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-7.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

36%

61W / 109L

Win Return (30d)

36%

61W / 109L

Trades (30d)

170

across 90 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.49

avg win $9 · loss $6

Profit Factor

0.87

$284 won / $328 lost

Reward / Risk

1.65

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$96

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	35.9% 61W/109L	90	$844
🎬 Culture	20.7% 6W/23L	13	$201
🏛 Politics	17.9% 5W/23L	12	$195
🌤 Weather	0.0% 0W/5L	4	$20
🤖 Tech	50.0% 1W/1L	2	$12

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	200	0.014	$2.80	$1.60	+133.3%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	200	0.011	$2.30	$1.10	+91.7%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	167	0.011	$1.75	$0.58	+50.0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	200	0.005	$1.10	$-0.10	-8.3%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	200	0.005	$1.00	$-0.20	-16.7%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	21	0.048	$0.99	$-0.03	-3.1%
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	200	0.003	$0.50	$-0.70	-58.3%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	111	0.004	$0.44	$-1.67	-78.9%
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	250	0.002	$0.38	$-2.12	-85.0%
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	250	0.002	$0.38	$-2.12	-85.0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	5	0.004	$0.02	$-0.03	-55.0%