Trader
0xbdfac44a0e2f87a267741b29913a3e55c49adc55
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$100
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-88.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
44%
4W / 5L
Win Return (30d)
44%
4W / 5L
Trades (30d)
9
across 4 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$24.93
avg win $3 · loss $53
Profit Factor
0.06
$6 won / $106 lost
Reward / Risk
0.06
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$106
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $926 · all-time $36,894
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
71.0%
206W/84L
|
125 |
$2,126 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
0.0%
0W/5L
|
2 |
$106 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5? |
Yes |
65 |
0.370 |
$24.05 |
$-8.45 |
-26.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 5? |
Yes |
65 |
0.080 |
$5.20 |
$-10.89 |
-67.7% |