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Trader leaderboard/BTCisaHarshMistress

BTCisaHarshMistress

0xbdd11cc911ec8ed95887e56dc253d70cb36b0c4f
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$424
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$224
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
41%
175W / 248L · 118 open
Win Return (30d)
53%
289W / 252L
Trades (30d)
541
across 62 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
−$8.65
avg win $32 · loss $63
Profit Factor
0.68
$900 won / $1,324 lost
Reward / Risk
0.51
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $34,362 · all-time $3,894,118

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 43.0% 300W/398L 100 $56,964
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/13L 9 $1,193
🤖 Tech 7 $339
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/13L 6 $1,270
⚽ Sports 100.0% 5W/0L 2 $195
🔬 Science 1 $55
🎬 Culture 1 $29

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

33 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? Yes 4,961 0.740 $3,670.97 $-124.40 -3.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? Yes 699 0.955 $667.60 $40.50 +6.5%
Anduril IPO before 2027? Yes 2,723 0.085 $231.48 $-205.13 -47.0%
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Yes 1,676 0.085 $142.50 $-703.40 -83.2%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 486 0.256 $124.30 $-16.60 -11.8%
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes 1,337 0.085 $113.67 $-15.15 -11.8%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 200 0.525 $104.99 $15.00 +16.7%
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 3,271 0.029 $94.85 $-844.48 -89.9%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 5,206 0.007 $39.04 $-1,221.39 -96.9%
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 2,441 0.015 $37.84 $-39.36 -51.0%
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes 220 0.155 $34.10 $-1.10 -3.1%
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Yes 34 0.956 $32.48 $-0.63 -1.9%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 717 0.033 $23.29 $-3.55 -13.2%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes 60 0.205 $12.30 $-3.00 -19.6%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 2,600 0.004 $11.70 $-12.00 -50.6%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? Yes 104 0.100 $10.43 $-9.57 -47.8%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? Yes 10 0.999 $9.99 $0.15 +1.6%
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes 74 0.125 $9.28 $-21.48 -69.8%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 20 0.459 $9.18 $1.63 +21.6%
SHEIN IPO before 2027? Yes 10 0.916 $9.16 $0.13 +1.4%
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes 180 0.046 $8.28 $-6.52 -44.1%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 150 0.055 $8.25 $-13.75 -62.5%
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes 12 0.520 $6.42 $1.48 +30.0%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 40 0.128 $5.12 $0.88 +20.8%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 1,640 0.003 $4.10 $-21.10 -83.7%