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Trader leaderboard/ourdemocracy2

ourdemocracy2

0xbdcb293dd41148a20895d0e818c0d96c0756e811
PnL (30d)
−$111
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$27
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
3W / 5L · 55 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
31W / 26L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
63
across 34 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$15.79
avg win $11 · loss $27
Profit Factor
0.17
$22 won / $133 lost
Reward / Risk
0.42
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,431 · all-time $10,887,540

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 37.5% 3W/5L 34 $18,827
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/3L 14 $2,446
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/3L 10 $1,904
🏛 Politics 4 $843
🎬 Culture 1 $126
🌤 Weather 1 $86
🔬 Science 1 $86
🤖 Tech 1 $228

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

54 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No 6,788 0.967 $6,560.91 $452.73 +7.4%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No 4,913 0.885 $4,347.87 $98.09 +2.3%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No 3,253 0.935 $3,041.85 $179.75 +6.3%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? No 1,500 0.964 $1,445.99 $101.00 +7.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,400 0.955 $1,337.00 $91.00 +7.3%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No 2,000 0.605 $1,210.00 $-70.00 -5.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No 1,367 0.855 $1,168.61 $119.41 +11.4%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No 1,302 0.855 $1,112.86 $-13.43 -1.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.964 $963.50 $43.50 +4.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No 1,235 0.760 $938.60 $-82.80 -8.1%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No 1,000 0.760 $760.40 $81.48 +12.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 750 0.978 $733.12 $10.63 +1.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? No 837 0.795 $665.04 $-37.70 -5.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No 663 0.958 $634.35 $31.47 +5.2%
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No 600 0.875 $525.00 $15.00 +2.9%
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No 500 0.967 $483.50 $34.45 +7.7%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? No 500 0.940 $470.00 $15.65 +3.4%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? No 480 0.941 $451.99 $12.26 +2.8%
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 381 0.882 $336.23 $39.33 +13.2%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No 453 0.725 $328.71 $-20.09 -5.8%
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 300 0.982 $294.60 $6.90 +2.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No 300 0.960 $287.86 $8.85 +3.2%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No 300 0.925 $277.50 $4.50 +1.6%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No 500 0.540 $269.99 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? No 271 0.927 $251.47 $8.62 +3.5%