PnL (30d)

−$27

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$177

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

64%

9W / 5L · 35 open

Win Return (30d)

35%

16W / 30L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

49

across 16 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$3.04

avg win $48 · loss $44

Profit Factor

0.88

$193 won / $220 lost

Reward / Risk

1.09

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	64.3% 9W/5L	16	$4,731
🏛 Politics	—	1	$432
₿ Crypto	—	1	$432

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	2,432	0.165	$401.21	$-270.79	-40.3%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	1,241	0.305	$378.51	$93.10	+32.6%
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	400	0.770	$308.00	$4.00	+1.3%
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-0.63	-80.8%
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-0.63	-80.8%
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-0.63	-80.8%
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-0.63	-80.8%
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-0.63	-80.8%
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-0.63	-80.8%
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-0.63	-80.8%
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-0.63	-80.8%
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-0.63	-80.8%
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-0.63	-80.8%
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-0.63	-80.8%
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-0.63	-80.8%
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-0.63	-80.8%
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1	0.003	$0.00	$-0.01	-67.3%
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1	0.002	$0.00	$-0.01	-80.0%
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1	0.002	$0.00	$-0.01	-80.0%
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1	0.002	$0.00	$-0.01	-80.0%
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1	0.002	$0.00	$-0.01	-80.0%
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1	0.002	$0.00	$-0.01	-80.0%
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1	0.002	$0.00	$-0.01	-80.0%