PnL (30d)

−$64

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$9

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-13.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

47%

161W / 185L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

48%

171W / 185L

Trades (30d)

356

across 90 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.75

avg win $2 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.58

$89 won / $154 lost

Reward / Risk

0.77

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	46.5% 161W/185L	90	$989
🏛 Politics	—	1	$3
💵 Economy	—	1	$3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	283	0.043	$12.13	$-61.37	-83.5%
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	37	0.205	$7.52	$-22.93	-75.3%