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Trader leaderboard/theginth

theginth

0xbd62de58a6e2aec9a1537af10116ff466da36a7e
PnL (30d)
−$544
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$49
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-8.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
24%
20W / 63L · 106 open
Win Return (30d)
41%
75W / 106L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
189
across 37 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$36.25
avg win $168 · loss $172
Profit Factor
0.65
$1,006 won / $1,550 lost
Reward / Risk
0.97
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,276 · all-time $167,427

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 24.1% 20W/63L 37 $9,782
🏛 Politics 1 $209

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

53 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 5,000 0.335 $1,675.00 $-177.54 -9.6%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 1,014 0.940 $952.68 $328.70 +52.7%
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes 1,381 0.560 $773.22 $-34.46 -4.3%
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes 1,500 0.455 $682.52 $18.19 +2.7%
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes 815 0.760 $619.77 $140.60 +29.3%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 800 0.635 $508.00 $36.00 +7.6%
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes 1,000 0.495 $494.99 $105.00 +26.9%
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes 500 0.845 $422.49 $31.50 +8.1%
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No 538 0.765 $411.57 $18.83 +4.8%
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes 545 0.685 $373.24 $2.72 +0.7%
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state? Yes 473 0.625 $295.74 $-10.04 -3.3%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 500 0.555 $277.50 $5.50 +2.0%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 500 0.515 $257.50 $-18.80 -6.8%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes 500 0.505 $252.64 $37.49 +17.4%
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026? Yes 526 0.480 $252.62 $14.73 +6.2%
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes 300 0.815 $244.47 $17.47 +7.7%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes 400 0.565 $225.95 $21.96 +10.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat? Yes 236 0.880 $207.29 $4.71 +2.3%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 500 0.405 $202.50 $22.50 +12.5%
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes 200 0.905 $181.00 $21.00 +13.1%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 200 0.865 $173.00 $11.00 +6.8%
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026? No 500 0.345 $172.45 $-84.63 -32.9%
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes 200 0.835 $167.00 $7.00 +4.4%
Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026? Yes 172 0.968 $166.19 $6.52 +4.1%
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes 151 0.894 $135.19 $14.28 +11.8%