PnL (30d)

−$13

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

60%

67W / 45L · 9 open

Win Return (30d)

62%

74W / 45L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

121

across 69 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.21

avg win $4 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.90

$126 won / $139 lost

Reward / Risk

0.93

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	59.8% 67W/45L	69	$578
⚽ Sports	40.0% 2W/3L	4	$24
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	2	$7
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$3
₿ Crypto	—	1	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	221	0.037	$8.30	$-7.64	-47.9%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	Yes	7	0.940	$6.20	$0.66	+11.9%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	6	0.885	$5.66	$1.31	+30.1%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	T1	10	0.515	$5.15	$0.05	+1.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	Yes	20	0.250	$5.00	$0.60	+13.6%
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	174	0.002	$0.26	$-0.61	-70.0%