| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July? |
No |
418 |
0.625 |
$261.25 |
$-48.07 |
-15.5% |
| Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election? |
Yes |
478 |
0.535 |
$255.73 |
$-78.87 |
-23.6% |
| Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? |
Yes |
453 |
0.515 |
$233.29 |
$-110.98 |
-32.2% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? |
Yes |
401 |
0.575 |
$230.82 |
$-50.18 |
-17.9% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? |
Yes |
576 |
0.285 |
$164.10 |
$-43.26 |
-20.9% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? |
Yes |
785 |
0.195 |
$153.11 |
$-340.59 |
-69.0% |
| Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? |
No |
677 |
0.210 |
$142.17 |
$-324.96 |
-69.6% |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? |
Yes |
277 |
0.512 |
$141.96 |
$-39.20 |
-21.6% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? |
No |
422 |
0.320 |
$135.04 |
$-109.72 |
-44.8% |
| Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? |
Yes |
288 |
0.460 |
$132.48 |
$-43.20 |
-24.6% |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? |
No |
509 |
0.225 |
$114.53 |
$-43.26 |
-27.4% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
460 |
0.240 |
$110.40 |
$-32.20 |
-22.6% |
| Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election? |
No |
394 |
0.275 |
$108.47 |
$-33.53 |
-23.6% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
115 |
0.875 |
$100.90 |
$-4.04 |
-3.8% |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July? |
Yes |
714 |
0.140 |
$99.96 |
$-114.24 |
-53.3% |
| Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa? |
No |
819 |
0.116 |
$94.59 |
$-224.82 |
-70.4% |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? |
Yes |
746 |
0.125 |
$93.25 |
$-152.93 |
-62.1% |
| Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? |
No |
169 |
0.475 |
$80.28 |
$-56.62 |
-41.4% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 |
Yes |
387 |
0.180 |
$69.69 |
$-15.49 |
-18.2% |
| Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? |
Yes |
184 |
0.325 |
$59.89 |
$-15.66 |
-20.7% |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? |
Yes |
310 |
0.170 |
$52.64 |
$-92.90 |
-63.8% |
| Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? |
No |
287 |
0.176 |
$50.52 |
$-47.08 |
-48.2% |
| Will three people dissent the January Fed decision? |
Yes |
187 |
0.235 |
$43.94 |
$-28.68 |
-39.5% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? |
No |
353 |
0.115 |
$40.59 |
$-19.41 |
-32.4% |
| Will Rick Devens come in second-place on Big Brother season 28? |
No |
43 |
0.905 |
$38.91 |
$-0.65 |
-1.6% |