PnL (30d)

−$48

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-175.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

9%

1W / 10L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

29%

4W / 10L

Trades (30d)

14

across 8 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$6.80

avg win $6 · loss $9

Profit Factor

0.11

$6 won / $53 lost

Reward / Risk

0.66

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$31

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	51.9% 28W/26L	23	$514
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/3L	3	$48
💵 Economy	—	1	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	46	0.165	$7.65	$-17.40	-69.4%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	100	0.075	$7.50	$-47.50	-86.4%
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	50	0.120	$6.00	$-13.00	-68.4%
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	45	0.125	$5.62	$-23.27	-80.5%
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?	Yes	50	0.105	$5.25	$-22.85	-81.3%
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	20	0.150	$3.00	$1.00	+50.0%
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	25	0.082	$2.03	$-7.97	-79.7%
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	25	0.050	$1.25	$-4.75	-79.2%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	20	0.059	$1.17	$-0.03	-2.5%
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027?	Yes	11	0.090	$0.99	$-0.44	-30.8%
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	10	0.090	$0.90	$-1.00	-52.6%
Will Rabby launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	50	0.015	$0.78	$-16.73	-95.6%