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Trader leaderboard/0xbcbAa7c1361C144ab53Ee26d37C5B279f5A0223f-1765154888779

0xbcbAa7c1361C144ab53Ee26d37C5B279f5A0223f-1765154888779

0xbcbaa7c1361c144ab53ee26d37c5b279f5a0223f
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$119
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$5
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
65%
485W / 260L · 23 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
502W / 265L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
768
across 542 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.23
avg win $2 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.86
$753 won / $872 lost
Reward / Risk
0.47
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$14
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $176 · all-time $81,198

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 64.1% 801W/449L 871 $4,222
₿ Crypto 66.3% 55W/28L 59 $267
💵 Economy 100.0% 6W/0L 16 $66

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

80 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? $3,000 244 0.455 $111.07 $-20.56 -15.6%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No 41 0.920 $37.71 $4.28 +12.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 24 0.845 $20.28 $1.62 +8.7%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 22 0.805 $17.71 $-2.02 -10.2%
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No 18 0.915 $16.47 $0.45 +2.8%
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 18 0.870 $15.66 $-1.36 -8.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No 12 0.958 $11.49 $0.87 +8.2%
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026? No 12 0.904 $10.85 $1.37 +14.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 12 0.885 $10.62 $1.02 +10.6%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 11 0.893 $9.82 $-0.59 -5.6%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.885 $9.73 $0.59 +6.5%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 10 0.942 $9.42 $0.07 +0.8%
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No 12 0.770 $9.23 $0.90 +10.8%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? No 9 0.952 $8.97 $0.17 +2.0%
Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No 11 0.790 $8.69 $1.47 +20.4%
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August? No 6 0.982 $5.89 $0.19 +3.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.982 $5.89 $0.07 +1.2%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in August? No 6 0.977 $5.86 $0.52 +9.7%
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No 6 0.977 $5.86 $0.34 +6.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.976 $5.85 $0.09 +1.5%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August? No 6 0.975 $5.85 $0.21 +3.7%
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.971 $5.83 $0.25 +4.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.968 $5.80 $0.12 +2.1%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.960 $5.76 $0.30 +5.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.960 $5.76 $0.18 +3.2%