| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? |
No |
771 |
0.977 |
$752.70 |
$68.38 |
+10.0% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
662 |
0.955 |
$632.41 |
$9.93 |
+1.6% |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? |
No |
400 |
0.960 |
$383.81 |
$16.98 |
+4.6% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? |
No |
279 |
0.925 |
$257.97 |
$1.39 |
+0.5% |
| Will Trump resign before 2027? |
No |
261 |
0.964 |
$251.80 |
$6.09 |
+2.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.117 |
$233.00 |
$-73.00 |
-23.9% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
820 |
0.184 |
$151.32 |
$-40.60 |
-21.2% |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? |
No |
146 |
0.965 |
$140.50 |
$9.71 |
+7.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? |
No |
353 |
0.385 |
$135.77 |
$-8.24 |
-5.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
241 |
0.545 |
$131.46 |
$1.02 |
+0.8% |
| US defaults on debt by 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.971 |
$97.06 |
$3.67 |
+3.9% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.009 |
$95.00 |
$1.24 |
+1.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? |
No |
200 |
0.415 |
$83.00 |
$-1.00 |
-1.2% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? |
Yes |
380 |
0.205 |
$77.90 |
$-9.50 |
-10.9% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,300 |
0.030 |
$70.15 |
$11.73 |
+20.1% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
9,097 |
0.007 |
$68.23 |
$0.35 |
+0.5% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.022 |
$67.50 |
$30.85 |
+84.2% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
24,045 |
0.003 |
$60.11 |
$-27.08 |
-31.1% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
8,000 |
0.006 |
$52.00 |
$-34.99 |
-40.2% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5,064 |
0.009 |
$48.11 |
$-3.41 |
-6.6% |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
7,000 |
0.006 |
$45.50 |
$-10.50 |
-18.7% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.009 |
$42.50 |
$-7.50 |
-15.0% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
No |
54 |
0.735 |
$39.43 |
$2.07 |
+5.5% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
7,000 |
0.005 |
$38.50 |
$-17.50 |
-31.2% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.009 |
$38.00 |
$-14.00 |
-26.9% |