PnL (30d)

−$419

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$38

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-23.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

18%

97W / 455L · 143 open

Win Return (30d)

21%

146W / 548L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

695

across 115 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$4.46

avg win $11 · loss $17

Profit Factor

0.52

$459 won / $879 lost

Reward / Risk

0.65

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$299

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	21.1% 304W/1,140L	259	$7,386
🏛 Politics	3.4% 6W/173L	38	$1,060
🎬 Culture	3.4% 6W/173L	38	$1,060

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

75 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	621	0.425	$263.78	$162.94	+161.6%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	566	0.245	$138.70	$45.47	+48.8%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	503	0.178	$89.70	$29.85	+49.9%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	578	0.075	$43.38	$-40.46	-48.3%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in August 2026?	No	30	0.998	$29.97	$-0.03	-0.1%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	143	0.185	$26.38	$16.34	+162.7%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	152	0.165	$25.11	$13.06	+108.5%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	167	0.145	$24.18	$10.33	+74.6%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	179	0.135	$24.17	$10.13	+72.1%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	155	0.155	$24.04	$12.00	+99.6%
Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	20	0.996	$19.93	$-0.07	-0.3%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	100	0.175	$17.52	$13.67	+355.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	100	0.165	$16.52	$12.67	+329.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	100	0.165	$16.52	$12.67	+329.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	144	0.105	$15.07	$6.03	+66.7%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	681	0.021	$14.58	$-15.27	-51.2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	152	0.074	$11.29	$4.24	+60.3%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	172	0.060	$10.29	$1.44	+16.3%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	150	0.065	$9.72	$1.68	+20.9%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	100	0.095	$9.51	$5.66	+147.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	521	0.018	$9.11	$-55.23	-85.8%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	100	0.085	$8.51	$4.66	+121.0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	145	0.045	$6.53	$0.49	+8.1%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	179	0.028	$5.02	$-1.03	-17.0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	100	0.036	$3.60	$-0.25	-6.4%