| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
155 |
0.177 |
$27.59 |
$-2.41 |
-8.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
44 |
0.605 |
$26.60 |
$6.60 |
+33.0% |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.744 |
$22.64 |
$2.64 |
+13.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.045 |
$22.50 |
$-7.50 |
-25.0% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
33 |
0.685 |
$22.29 |
$2.29 |
+11.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
67 |
0.305 |
$20.33 |
$0.33 |
+1.7% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? |
No |
24 |
0.830 |
$20.24 |
$10.24 |
+102.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
118 |
0.165 |
$19.41 |
$-0.59 |
-2.9% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? |
Yes |
55 |
0.345 |
$19.00 |
$-1.00 |
-5.0% |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
29 |
0.625 |
$18.25 |
$-1.75 |
-8.8% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
26 |
0.695 |
$18.18 |
$8.18 |
+81.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
28 |
0.530 |
$14.72 |
$4.72 |
+47.2% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
16 |
0.885 |
$14.05 |
$4.05 |
+40.5% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.445 |
$13.49 |
$-6.51 |
-32.6% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
35 |
0.375 |
$13.02 |
$-4.42 |
-25.3% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 |
No |
15 |
0.835 |
$12.28 |
$2.28 |
+22.8% |
| Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30? |
No |
16 |
0.700 |
$10.94 |
$0.94 |
+9.4% |
| Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? |
No |
14 |
0.755 |
$10.79 |
$0.79 |
+7.9% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
15 |
0.695 |
$10.54 |
$0.54 |
+5.4% |
| Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? |
No |
31 |
0.335 |
$10.47 |
$0.47 |
+4.7% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
83 |
0.125 |
$10.42 |
$0.42 |
+4.2% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
21 |
0.489 |
$10.20 |
$0.20 |
+2.0% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? |
No |
17 |
0.582 |
$10.10 |
$0.10 |
+1.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.650 |
$10.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
27 |
0.365 |
$9.86 |
$-0.14 |
-1.4% |