PnL (30d)

+$11,169

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$671

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

48%

321W / 346L · 41 open

Win Return (30d)

50%

351W / 357L

Trades (30d)

708

across 45 markets · ~16 per market

EV / position

+$279.24

avg win $819 · loss $981

Profit Factor

1.95

$22,941 won / $11,772 lost

Reward / Risk

0.84

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,030

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	48.1% 321W/346L	45	$465,062
🎬 Culture	100.0% 6W/0L	2	$28,457
⚽ Sports	100.0% 2W/0L	2	$1,583
🤖 Tech	—	1	$58
🏛 Politics	100.0% 6W/0L	1	$28,399

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?	Yes	304	0.818	$248.48	$-31.47	-11.2%
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?	Yes	205	0.830	$169.91	$38.60	+29.4%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?	Yes	100	0.545	$54.50	$-3.50	-6.0%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by December 31?	Yes	10	0.190	$1.90	$0.10	+5.6%