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Trader leaderboard/0xbaf71a1647D89498713C1084A3F6eeFec74Eb963-1772219577462

0xbaf71a1647D89498713C1084A3F6eeFec74Eb963-1772219577462

0xbaf71a1647d89498713c1084a3f6eefec74eb963
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$10
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+12.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
71%
15W / 6L
Win Return (30d)
71%
15W / 6L
Trades (30d)
21
across 9 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$1.13
avg win $7 · loss $10
Profit Factor
1.34
$40 won / $30 lost
Reward / Risk
0.67
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $633 · all-time $45,004

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.3% 126W/102L 127 $2,015
🌤 Weather 100.0% 4W/0L 2 $47
🏛 Politics 100.0% 4W/0L 2 $51

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6? Yes 30 0.670 $20.10 $4.91 +32.3%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? Yes 20 0.930 $18.60 $5.80 +45.3%
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? Yes 70 0.180 $12.57 $-12.43 -49.7%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 109 0.048 $5.17 $0.17 +3.5%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 41 0.101 $4.16 $-1.84 -30.7%
Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 50 0.072 $3.62 $0.62 +20.8%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? Yes 29 0.105 $3.00 $-7.00 -70.0%
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? Yes 50 0.060 $2.99 $-4.98 -62.5%
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? Yes 50 0.054 $2.70 $-7.30 -73.0%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 63 0.038 $2.44 $-2.56 -51.3%
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? Yes 28 0.049 $1.36 $0.36 +36.4%
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 446 0.002 $0.67 $-0.33 -33.1%
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 200 0.003 $0.50 $-0.50 -50.0%
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 250 0.002 $0.38 $-0.62 -62.5%
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 143 0.003 $0.36 $-0.64 -64.3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? No 11 0.001 $0.01 $-2.99 -99.8%