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Trader

0xbadaf319415c17f28824a43ae0cd912b9d84d874
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$722
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$212
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
815W / 514L · 642 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
1,183W / 778L · 10 open
Trades (30d)
1,971
across 508 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$2.36
avg win $11 · loss $11
Profit Factor
1.54
$2,055 won / $1,333 lost
Reward / Risk
1.04
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$203
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $20,781 · all-time $439,998

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 66.8% 4,193W/2,088L 2615 $96,496
💵 Economy 50.7% 108W/105L 166 $6,968
₿ Crypto 56.7% 187W/143L 160 $7,106
🤖 Tech 100.0% 1W/0L 17 $722
🏛 Politics 14 $1,028
🎬 Culture 66.7% 18W/9L 6 $1,088
⚽ Sports 3 $8
🌤 Weather 2 $43
🔬 Science 2 $43

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

197 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? No 182 0.955 $173.47 $-0.91 -0.5%
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? Yes 1,028 0.132 $135.14 $-26.56 -16.4%
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027? No 129 0.886 $113.88 $2.55 +2.3%
Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 60m by August 31? No 106 0.983 $104.69 $4.31 +4.3%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% in 2026? No 82 0.924 $75.38 $2.05 +2.8%
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $5M before 2027? No 78 0.958 $75.09 $0.30 +0.4%
Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 71 0.900 $63.98 $6.12 +10.6%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $105 Week of August 3 2026? No 62 0.994 $61.61 $2.73 +4.6%
Perena FDV above $600M one day after launch? No 61 0.927 $56.41 $0.30 +0.5%
Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 62 0.855 $52.80 $2.78 +5.6%
Will Catena launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 88 0.570 $50.12 $31.65 +171.4%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? No 52 0.901 $46.98 $1.44 +3.2%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 50 0.902 $45.28 $5.85 +14.8%
Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch No 66 0.675 $44.87 $10.02 +28.8%
Will Catena launch a token by September 30, 2027? Yes 78 0.560 $43.65 $3.59 +9.0%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31? Yes 69 0.624 $43.26 $-11.39 -20.8%
GMGN FDV above $300M one day after launch No 64 0.620 $39.66 $14.10 +55.2%
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? No 42 0.898 $37.62 $2.79 +8.0%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 49% in 2026? No 37 0.971 $36.11 $0.67 +1.9%
Fuse FDV above $8B one day after launch? No 42 0.855 $36.05 $1.05 +3.0%
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31? Yes 64 0.565 $35.92 $-5.11 -12.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1T by August 31? No 35 0.970 $33.83 $31.04 +1112.5%
Multipli.fi FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 63 0.525 $32.86 $-4.64 -12.4%
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Toss Match Double Sri Lanka Winner No 59 0.549 $32.64 $16.96 +108.2%
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B? Yes 32 0.969 $31.18 $1.89 +6.5%