PnL (30d)

+$3

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+5.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

100%

4W / 0L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

77%

10W / 3L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

14

across 8 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$1.33

avg win $1

Profit Factor

∞

no losses yet

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	100.0% 8W/0L	14	$288
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	431	0.190	$81.89	$-39.81	-32.7%
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?	Yes	190	0.115	$21.85	$-16.15	-42.5%
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	45	0.335	$15.07	$-10.42	-40.9%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	190	0.065	$12.35	$-9.35	-43.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	50	0.225	$11.25	$-0.75	-6.2%
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	24	0.275	$6.65	$-0.46	-6.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	34	0.135	$4.66	$-5.34	-53.4%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	40	0.040	$1.60	$-8.40	-84.0%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	3	0.265	$0.80	$-0.20	-19.7%
Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	14	0.045	$0.64	$-0.36	-35.7%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	5	0.115	$0.61	$-0.39	-39.5%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	5	0.090	$0.47	$-0.53	-52.6%