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Trader

0xba819b1e5620ea68ad99864720aa084440727ffe
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 1L · 32 open
Win Return (30d)
81%
25W / 6L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
33
across 10 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.80
· loss $1
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,118 · all-time $510,445

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.0% 885W/1,128L 836 $1,025
⚽ Sports 11.5% 23W/177L 101 $80
🌤 Weather 42.9% 9W/12L 15 $6
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/5L 5 $2
₿ Crypto 62.5% 5W/3L 4 $4
🏛 Politics 2 $0
🤖 Tech 1 $0
🔬 Science 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: PSV O/U 2.5 Corners Under 29 0.475 $13.78 $12.90 +1483.3%
Will an independent win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? Yes 22 0.224 $4.93 $4.83 +5088.7%
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Hyderabad Kingsmen - Team Top Batter Draw Yes 10 0.485 $4.85 $4.65 +2324.9%
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Hyderabad Kingsmen - Team Top Batter Hyderabad Kingsmen Winner Yes 10 0.485 $4.85 $4.65 +2324.9%
Los Angeles FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 0.5 Under 39 0.074 $2.91 $0.87 +42.4%
Leeds United vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 0.5 Under 8 0.275 $2.17 $1.70 +358.3%
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Hyderabad Kingsmen - Team Top Batter Lahore Qalandars Winner Yes 3 0.490 $1.47 $1.23 +512.5%
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? Yes 7 0.178 $1.26 $1.10 +711.3%
Will John Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election? No 4 0.250 $1.12 $0.63 +127.3%
Will there be between 105m and 110m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? Yes 10 0.098 $0.97 $0.89 +996.0%
Will there be between 95m and 100m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? Yes 5 0.161 $0.73 $0.70 +2199.8%
Next Kimi K model released by December 31, 2026? No 24 0.030 $0.72 $-0.08 -9.9%
Will Nate Tibbetts win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award? Yes 22 0.019 $0.41 $0.11 +34.7%
FC Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs. PFC Levski Sofia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners Under 56 0.005 $0.28 $-0.28 -50.0%
Will Tyler Marsh win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award? Yes 5 0.051 $0.26 $0.12 +85.4%
Will Sonia Raman win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award? Yes 9 0.025 $0.23 $0.18 +316.5%
Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election? No 8 0.022 $0.18 $0.11 +174.8%
Will Chris DeMarco win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award? Yes 17 0.009 $0.15 $-0.11 -41.3%
Will there be between 100m and 105m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? Yes 14 0.009 $0.12 $-0.02 -15.3%
Will there be between 85m and 90m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? Yes 12 0.011 $0.12 $0.05 +73.6%
Will Sandy Brondello win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award? Yes 5 0.021 $0.10 $-0.04 -26.1%
Will Karl Smesko win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award? Yes 5 0.016 $0.08 $-0.06 -42.3%
Will Rachid Meziane win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award? Yes 5 0.015 $0.07 $-0.06 -45.9%
Will Lynne Roberts win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award? Yes 2 0.032 $0.06 $0.04 +220.0%
Will Sheri Biggs be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 50 0.001 $0.03 $-0.18 -88.0%