kaese
0xba0d056cd6966f1b8608cc79040d4e0c10191fd0
PnL (30d)
−$54
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-46.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
23%
5W / 17L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
24%
6W / 19L
Trades (30d)
25
across 15 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$4.16
avg win $5 · loss $7
Profit Factor
0.21
$15 won / $69 lost
Reward / Risk
0.71
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$8
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $139,737
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.335 |
$33.61 |
$-4.98 |
-12.9% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.011 |
$10.50 |
$-3.50 |
-25.0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.075 |
$7.50 |
$-1.50 |
-16.7% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.070 |
$6.95 |
$-2.05 |
-22.8% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.065 |
$6.50 |
$-3.50 |
-35.0% |