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Trader leaderboard/PrognosticatorOfPraha

PrognosticatorOfPraha

0xb98b176859c2b375cf06c1c4974e46ed69cd7e18
PnL (30d)
+$316
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
4%
8W / 204L · 48 open
Win Return (30d)
10%
26W / 231L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
260
across 86 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$5.96
avg win $638 · loss $32
Profit Factor
1.20
$1,915 won / $1,599 lost
Reward / Risk
19.96
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$912
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $22,560 · all-time $2,265,874

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 3.8% 8W/204L 86 $16,428
🏛 Politics 33.3% 3W/6L 15 $6,714
⚽ Sports 27.3% 3W/8L 12 $1,275
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/69L 9 $216
💵 Economy 33.3% 3W/6L 7 $6,690

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

42 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 2,000 0.505 $1,010.00 $10.00 +1.0%
Will Shedeur Sanders be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB? Yes 249 0.435 $108.51 $3.24 +3.1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 200 0.515 $103.00 $5.00 +5.1%
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 1,500 0.039 $58.50 $2.00 +3.5%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 500 0.080 $39.75 $7.25 +22.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 2,000 0.015 $29.00 $4.00 +16.0%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 300 0.065 $19.50 $-1.50 -7.1%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 1,000 0.018 $17.50 $5.50 +45.8%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 300 0.054 $16.35 $3.45 +26.7%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 500 0.030 $15.25 $-3.25 -17.6%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 1,600 0.009 $15.20 $-8.40 -35.6%
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 300 0.045 $13.65 $1.35 +11.0%
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 600 0.019 $11.70 $5.10 +77.3%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes 29 0.315 $9.15 $7.11 +350.0%
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 500 0.018 $8.75 $0.25 +2.9%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 200 0.043 $8.50 $1.70 +25.0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 700 0.011 $8.05 $-0.35 -4.2%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 4,000 0.002 $8.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 600 0.011 $6.90 $-0.30 -4.2%
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 800 0.009 $6.80 $-2.20 -24.4%
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 1,000 0.006 $6.50 $1.50 +30.0%
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 600 0.011 $6.30 $-0.30 -4.5%
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 600 0.009 $5.70 $-0.30 -5.0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 200 0.025 $5.08 $-0.12 -2.3%
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 2,000 0.003 $5.00 $-1.00 -16.7%